We simulate games play by play thousands of times, keeping track of the score and the clock, which allows us to write out the full spectrum of different game scripts of the way a game could play out. For example, in baseball, the lead off hitter will come up to the plate in the first inning and we'll combine our understanding of the skill of the pitcher and hitter and other factors like weather, park factors, the umpire, and more to determine the probabilities of each different event that could happen like a strikeout, a walk, a single, a home run, and so on. Then the next batter comes up to the plate and we do it all over again.

This is important because context is important in sports. A football team, for example, is going to call very different plays if they're up 35-0 compared if they're down 28-21 in the fourth quarter. To properly assess what is going to happen in a game, you need to understand the context of that game script. That means that while we have average projections, we don't just come up with average projections. We come up with a full distribution of a player's full range of outcomes for a given game. We pull these powerful ranges of outcomes into your lineups automatically when you build.

If you're interested in learning a more how simulations work for individual sports, check out our videos on our YouTube channel. And if you're interested in learning more about the rest of the lineup building process on SaberSim, check out the rest of our support documentation. Thanks and good luck.

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