Transcript:
The player percentiles that you see on the projections tab on the Saber Sim app will show you the probability of different players reaching different scores. For example, the 85th percentile for Blake Snell being 36.7 fantasy points, means that Blake Snell scores 36.7 or more fantasy points in 15% of the simulations. Within a build, you can change the player's fantasy point projection to a percentile projection, by using the percentile dropdown. Switching to a different percentile in the build screen will shift that player's mean to that percentile projection, which essentially has the effect of selecting the lineups in your pool, that have a bit more upside at the expense of average performance. One important thing to note is that because we're using simulations to build your lineups based on your sim precision slider, you don't need to use a percentile. Your lineups are already built for upside, even at the average percentile.
I'd recommend playing around with the different percentile values in a build screen and seeing how your lineups and exposure shift as you move them around. The 75th, 85th, and 95th percentile will all have an impact on your builds increasing the upside at the expense of average performance. The 99th percentile can be fun to play with, but be careful. It can be useful for researching the absolute top end ceiling lineups, but it's a pretty rare outcome and you can get some very risky plays in your lineups using the 99th percentile. If you're interested in learning more about the rest of the lineup building process on Saber Sim, check out some of our other videos and our support documentation. Thanks and good luck.